Gridiron Core

Visitors 379 total, 243 passing, 136 rushing. Home 389 total, 242 passing, 147 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB45ARSTCLEARLT+1358LTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLT edge
  • Dropback successLT edge
  • Completion over expectedLT edge
  • Turnover avoidanceLT edge
  • Sack avoidanceLT edge
Rush47ARSTSLIGHTLT+652LTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALT edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceLT edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageLT edge
Pass47ARSTCLEARLT+1360LTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALT edge
  • Pass successLT edge
  • Explosive passesLT edge
  • ProtectionLT edge
  • Completion over expectedLT edge
Trenches43ARSTCLEARLT+1457LTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlLT edge
  • Pass protectionLT edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLT edge
  • Stuff creationLT edge
  • Pressure creationLT edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLT edge
Explosive49ARSTSLIGHTLT+654LTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLT edge
  • Explosive passesLT edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeLT edge
  • Explosive preventionLT edge
Resilience51ARSTEVEN+253LTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseLT edge
  • Defensive responseLT edge
  • Momentum reversalARST edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceLT edge
ARSTOFFENSEvsLTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS69%SEASONLT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS52%SEASONARST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONLT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4943%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)LTOFFENSEvsARSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS70%SEASONARST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS72%SEASONLT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONARST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LTRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS4EMPTY6+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3933%40 - 4940%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ARST 8, LT 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.