Gridiron Core

Visitors 371 total, 177 passing, 194 rushing. Home 379 total, 243 passing, 136 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB45TROYSLIGHTARST+651ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackARST edge
  • Dropback successARST edge
  • Completion over expectedARST edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTROY edge
  • Sack avoidanceTROY edge
Rush57TROYEVEN+353ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATROY edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceTROY edge
  • Explosive runsTROY edge
  • Short yardageARST edge
Pass47TROYEVEN+552ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAARST edge
  • Pass successARST edge
  • Explosive passesTROY edge
  • ProtectionTROY edge
  • Completion over expectedARST edge
Trenches52TROYEVEN+348ARSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTROY edge
  • Pass protectionTROY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingARST edge
  • Stuff creationTROY edge
  • Pressure creationTROY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseARST edge
Explosive53TROYSLIGHTTROY+547ARSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTROY edge
  • Explosive passesTROY edge
  • Explosive runsTROY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTROY edge
  • Explosive preventionTROY edge
Resilience49TROYEVEN+351ARSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARST edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalARST edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTROY edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTROY edge
TROYOFFENSEvsARSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETROY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS64%SEASONARST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS72%SEASONTROY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONARST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TROYRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TROY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARSTOFFENSEvsTROYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS69%SEASONTROY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONARST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONTROY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4943%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TROY 8, ARST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.