Gridiron Core

Visitors 370 total, 212 passing, 158 rushing. Home 349 total, 203 passing, 146 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52TLSAEVEN+448TULNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTLSA edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedTLSA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTLSA edge
  • Sack avoidanceTLSA edge
Rush55TLSASLIGHTTLSA+550TULNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successTLSA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTLSA edge
  • Explosive runsTLSA edge
  • Short yardageTULN edge
Pass51TLSAEVEN+249TULNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATLSA edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesTLSA edge
  • ProtectionTLSA edge
  • Completion over expectedTLSA edge
Trenches51TLSAEVEN+249TULNMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTLSA edge
  • Pass protectionTLSA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTULN edge
  • Stuff creationTLSA edge
  • Pressure creationTLSA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTULN edge
Explosive53TLSASLIGHTTLSA+647TULNHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTLSA edge
  • Explosive passesTLSA edge
  • Explosive runsTLSA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTLSA edge
  • Explosive preventionTLSA edge
Resilience47TLSAEVEN+047TULNHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTULN edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalTULN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTULN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTLSA edge
TLSAOFFENSEvsTULNDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETLSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS72%SEASONTULN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)37TRIPS57%SEASONTLSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONTULN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TLSARED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TLSA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TULNOFFENSEvsTLSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETULN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS58%SEASONTLSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONTULN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONTLSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TULNRED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TULN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4920%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TLSA 8, TULN 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.