Gridiron Core

Visitors 338 total, 196 passing, 141 rushing. Home 335 total, 188 passing, 147 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB46BALLCLEARMASS+1157MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMASS edge
  • Dropback successMASS edge
  • Completion over expectedMASS edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMASS edge
  • Sack avoidanceMASS edge
Rush53BALLSLIGHTBALL+648MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABALL edge
  • Rush successBALL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBALL edge
  • Explosive runsBALL edge
  • Short yardageBALL edge
Pass45BALLSLIGHTMASS+1055MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMASS edge
  • Pass successMASS edge
  • Explosive passesMASS edge
  • ProtectionMASS edge
  • Completion over expectedMASS edge
Trenches51BALLEVEN+349MASSMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBALL edge
  • Pass protectionMASS edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBALL edge
  • Stuff creationBALL edge
  • Pressure creationMASS edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBALL edge
Explosive46BALLSLIGHTMASS+652MASSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMASS edge
  • Explosive passesMASS edge
  • Explosive runsBALL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMASS edge
  • Explosive preventionMASS edge
Resilience41BALLSLIGHTMASS+647MASSHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBALL edge
  • Defensive responseMASS edge
  • Momentum reversalBALL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMASS edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMASS edge
BALLOFFENSEvsMASSDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBALL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONMASS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS57%SEASONBALL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONMASS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS1EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BALL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 290%30 - 3980%40 - 49—50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MASSOFFENSEvsBALLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMASS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS57%SEASONBALL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS83%SEASONMASS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONBALL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)10%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MASSRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MASS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BALL 8, MASS 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.