Gridiron Core

Visitors 424 total, 294 passing, 129 rushing. Home 420 total, 233 passing, 186 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48USCEVEN+553IUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackIU edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedUSC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceIU edge
Rush39USCCLEARIU+1050IUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAIU edge
  • Rush successIU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceIU edge
  • Explosive runsIU edge
  • Short yardageIU edge
Pass46USCSLIGHTIU+955IUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAIU edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesIU edge
  • ProtectionIU edge
  • Completion over expectedUSC edge
Trenches43USCCLEARIU+1357IUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlIU edge
  • Pass protectionIU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingIU edge
  • Stuff creationIU edge
  • Pressure creationIU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseIU edge
Explosive42USCCLEARIU+1558IUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateIU edge
  • Explosive passesIU edge
  • Explosive runsIU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeIU edge
  • Explosive preventionIU edge
Resilience54USCEVEN+252IUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUSC edge
  • Defensive responseUSC edge
  • Momentum reversalUSC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksIU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceIU edge
USCOFFENSEvsIUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)44TRIPS66%SEASONIU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS37%SEASONUSC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONIU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)47%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USCRED ZONETRIPS / G4.9TOUCHDOWNS29FIELD GOALS7EMPTY8+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3988%40 - 490%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)IUOFFENSEvsUSCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEIU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS63%SEASONUSC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS62%SEASONIU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONUSC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)IURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS7EMPTY6+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | IU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (USC 9, IU 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.