Gridiron Core

Visitors 390 total, 263 passing, 126 rushing. Home 419 total, 206 passing, 213 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB59APPSLIGHTAPP+751USAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackAPP edge
  • Dropback successAPP edge
  • Completion over expectedAPP edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceUSA edge
Rush51APPEVEN+051USAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successAPP edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUSA edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Short yardageUSA edge
Pass59APPSLIGHTAPP+752USAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAAPP edge
  • Pass successAPP edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • ProtectionUSA edge
  • Completion over expectedAPP edge
Trenches44APPCLEARUSA+1256USAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSA edge
  • Pass protectionUSA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUSA edge
  • Stuff creationUSA edge
  • Pressure creationUSA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUSA edge
Explosive58APPCLEARAPP+1443USAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateAPP edge
  • Explosive passesAPP edge
  • Explosive runsAPP edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeAPP edge
  • Explosive preventionAPP edge
Resilience51APPEVEN+546USAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseAPP edge
  • Momentum reversalAPP edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksAPP edge
  • Mistake avoidanceAPP edge
APPOFFENSEvsUSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEAPP RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS63%SEASONUSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)36TRIPS78%SEASONAPP SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONUSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)11%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)APPRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS7EMPTY6+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | APP KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3986%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)USAOFFENSEvsAPPDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS66%SEASONAPP RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONUSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONAPP FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USARED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4967%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (APP 8, USA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.