Gridiron Core

Visitors 404 total, 109 passing, 296 rushing. Home 414 total, 71 passing, 343 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB61NAVYEVEN+556ARMYLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNAVY edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedARMY edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNAVY edge
  • Sack avoidanceNAVY edge
Rush63NAVYEVEN+162ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAARMY edge
  • Rush successNAVY edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNAVY edge
  • Explosive runsNAVY edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass62NAVYSLIGHTNAVY+656ARMYLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANAVY edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesNAVY edge
  • ProtectionNAVY edge
  • Completion over expectedARMY edge
Trenches52NAVYEVEN+448ARMYMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNAVY edge
  • Pass protectionNAVY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationNAVY edge
  • Pressure creationNAVY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive54NAVYSLIGHTNAVY+549ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNAVY edge
  • Explosive passesNAVY edge
  • Explosive runsNAVY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionNAVY edge
Resilience46NAVYEVEN+249ARMYHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARMY edge
  • Defensive responseARMY edge
  • Momentum reversalARMY edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNAVY edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNAVY edge
NAVYOFFENSEvsARMYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENAVY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS70%SEASONARMY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONNAVY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONARMY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NAVYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NAVY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARMYOFFENSEvsNAVYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARMY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS72%SEASONNAVY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONARMY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONNAVY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARMYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARMY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NAVY 8, ARMY 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.