Gridiron Core

Visitors 435 total, 284 passing, 151 rushing. Home 398 total, 223 passing, 175 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB46BAYEVEN+343BYUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackBAY edge
  • Dropback successBYU edge
  • Completion over expectedBYU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceBAY edge
  • Sack avoidanceBAY edge
Rush47BAYEVEN+245BYUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successBAY edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBAY edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageBAY edge
Pass43BAYEVEN+043BYUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPABAY edge
  • Pass successBYU edge
  • Explosive passesBYU edge
  • ProtectionBAY edge
  • Completion over expectedBYU edge
Trenches53BAYSLIGHTBAY+647BYUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBAY edge
  • Pass protectionBAY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBAY edge
  • Stuff creationBAY edge
  • Pressure creationBAY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBAY edge
Explosive46BAYEVEN+450BYUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBYU edge
  • Explosive passesBYU edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeBYU edge
  • Explosive preventionBYU edge
Resilience54BAYEVEN+252BYUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseBAY edge
  • Momentum reversalBAY edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBYU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceBYU edge
BAYOFFENSEvsBYUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS53%SEASONBYU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONBAY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONBYU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BAYRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS17FIELD GOALS8EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4950%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BYUOFFENSEvsBAYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBYU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS79%SEASONBAY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS33%SEASONBYU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)6%SEASONBAY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)42%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BYURED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS26FIELD GOALS2EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BYU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BAY 8, BYU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.