Gridiron Core

Visitors 492 total, 267 passing, 225 rushing. Home 345 total, 237 passing, 108 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB60LOUSLIGHTLOU+654UNCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLOU edge
  • Dropback successLOU edge
  • Completion over expectedLOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceLOU edge
  • Sack avoidanceLOU edge
Rush61LOUCLEARLOU+1249UNCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALOU edge
  • Rush successLOU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUNC edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Short yardageLOU edge
Pass59LOUSLIGHTLOU+654UNCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALOU edge
  • Pass successLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • ProtectionLOU edge
  • Completion over expectedLOU edge
Trenches51LOUEVEN+249UNCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUNC edge
  • Pass protectionLOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLOU edge
  • Stuff creationUNC edge
  • Pressure creationLOU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLOU edge
Explosive58LOUCLEARLOU+1444UNCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeLOU edge
  • Explosive preventionLOU edge
Resilience55LOUSLIGHTLOU+648UNCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseLOU edge
  • Defensive responseUNC edge
  • Momentum reversalLOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLOU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceLOU edge
LOUOFFENSEvsUNCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONUNC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS54%SEASONLOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONUNC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)32%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY5+21 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UNCOFFENSEvsLOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUNC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS71%SEASONLOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONUNC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONLOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UNCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.5TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS7EMPTY1+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UNC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (LOU 8, UNC 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.