Gridiron Core

Visitors 377 total, 259 passing, 117 rushing. Home 408 total, 247 passing, 162 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB62TNTCSTRONGTNTC+2140MSSTLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Dropback successTNTC edge
  • Completion over expectedTNTC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceTNTC edge
Rush54TNTCSLIGHTTNTC+747MSSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush successTNTC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTNTC edge
  • Explosive runsMSST edge
  • Short yardageTNTC edge
Pass58TNTCSTRONGTNTC+2236MSSTLOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass successTNTC edge
  • Explosive passesTNTC edge
  • ProtectionTNTC edge
  • Completion over expectedTNTC edge
Trenches55TNTCCLEARTNTC+1045MSSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTNTC edge
  • Pass protectionTNTC edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTNTC edge
  • Stuff creationTNTC edge
  • Pressure creationTNTC edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTNTC edge
Explosive51TNTCSLIGHTTNTC+645MSSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTNTC edge
  • Explosive passesTNTC edge
  • Explosive runsMSST edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTNTC edge
  • Explosive preventionTNTC edge
Resilience51TNTCSLIGHTTNTC+644MSSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTNTC edge
  • Defensive responseMSST edge
  • Momentum reversalTNTC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceMSST edge
TNTCOFFENSEvsMSSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETNTC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS78%SEASONMSST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONTNTC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)6%SEASONMSST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TNTCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS25FIELD GOALS2EMPTY5+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TNTC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+80%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MSSTOFFENSEvsTNTCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMSST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONTNTC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS46%SEASONMSST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONTNTC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)43%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MSSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MSST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TNTC 9, MSST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.