Gridiron Core

Visitors 412 total, 260 passing, 152 rushing. Home 510 total, 318 passing, 192 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47ALACLEARLSU+1159LSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLSU edge
  • Dropback successLSU edge
  • Completion over expectedLSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceALA edge
  • Sack avoidanceLSU edge
Rush46ALAEVEN+046LSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAALA edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceLSU edge
  • Explosive runsALA edge
  • Short yardageLSU edge
Pass46ALACLEARLSU+1461LSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALSU edge
  • Pass successLSU edge
  • Explosive passesLSU edge
  • ProtectionLSU edge
  • Completion over expectedLSU edge
Trenches42ALACLEARLSU+1658LSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlLSU edge
  • Pass protectionLSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLSU edge
  • Stuff creationLSU edge
  • Pressure creationLSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLSU edge
Explosive51ALAEVEN+249LSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateALA edge
  • Explosive passesLSU edge
  • Explosive runsALA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeALA edge
  • Explosive preventionALA edge
Resilience53ALAEVEN+457LSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseLSU edge
  • Momentum reversalLSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceLSU edge
ALAOFFENSEvsLSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEALA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS79%SEASONLSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS50%SEASONALA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)15%SEASONLSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ALARED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS27FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ALA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4986%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)LSUOFFENSEvsALADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)46TRIPS70%SEASONALA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS56%SEASONLSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONALA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LSURED ZONETRIPS / G5.8TOUCHDOWNS32FIELD GOALS8EMPTY6+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2988%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ALA 8, LSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.