Gridiron Core

Visitors 400 total, 232 passing, 167 rushing. Home 269 total, 172 passing, 96 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB43USMSLIGHTUSM+537ODUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedUSM edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUSM edge
  • Sack avoidanceUSM edge
Rush49USMSLIGHTUSM+643ODUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successUSM edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUSM edge
  • Explosive runsUSM edge
  • Short yardageODU edge
Pass43USMSLIGHTUSM+736ODUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesUSM edge
  • ProtectionUSM edge
  • Completion over expectedUSM edge
Trenches59USMSTRONGUSM+1841ODUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSM edge
  • Pass protectionUSM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingODU edge
  • Stuff creationUSM edge
  • Pressure creationUSM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseODU edge
Explosive51USMSLIGHTUSM+646ODUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUSM edge
  • Explosive passesUSM edge
  • Explosive runsUSM edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUSM edge
  • Explosive preventionUSM edge
Resilience49USMSLIGHTUSM+941ODUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUSM edge
  • Defensive responseUSM edge
  • Momentum reversalUSM edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUSM edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUSM edge
USMOFFENSEvsODUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS69%SEASONODU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)45TRIPS36%SEASONUSM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONODU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)47%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USMRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS2EMPTY7+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 290%30 - 3960%40 - 4933%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ODUOFFENSEvsUSMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEODU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)20TRIPS50%SEASONUSM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS58%SEASONODU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONUSM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ODURED ZONETRIPS / G2.2TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ODU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 3980%40 - 4925%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (USM 8, ODU 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.