Gridiron Core

Visitors 425 total, 257 passing, 168 rushing. Home 451 total, 251 passing, 200 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49MIZEVEN+352UGAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successUGA edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceMIZ edge
  • Sack avoidanceUGA edge
Rush41MIZCLEARUGA+1253UGAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUGA edge
  • Rush successUGA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUGA edge
  • Explosive runsUGA edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass49MIZEVEN+453UGAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successUGA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionUGA edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches45MIZSLIGHTUGA+1055UGAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUGA edge
  • Pass protectionUGA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationUGA edge
  • Pressure creationUGA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive48MIZEVEN+351UGAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUGA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsUGA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUGA edge
  • Explosive preventionUGA edge
Resilience51MIZEVEN+150UGAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUGA edge
  • Defensive responseMIZ edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUGA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUGA edge
MIZOFFENSEvsUGADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIZ RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS51%SEASONUGA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS75%SEASONMIZ SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONUGA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)13%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIZRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS8EMPTY9+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIZ KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 3978%40 - 49—50+63%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UGAOFFENSEvsMIZDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUGA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)37TRIPS78%SEASONMIZ RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS45%SEASONUGA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONMIZ FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UGARED ZONETRIPS / G4.6TOUCHDOWNS29FIELD GOALS5EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UGA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MIZ 8, UGA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.