Gridiron Core

Visitors 414 total, 71 passing, 343 rushing. Home 355 total, 83 passing, 272 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54ARMYEVEN+252RICELOW confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackRICE edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedARMY edge
  • Turnover avoidanceARMY edge
  • Sack avoidanceARMY edge
Rush62ARMYEVEN+458RICEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAARMY edge
  • Rush successARMY edge
  • Stuff avoidanceARMY edge
  • Explosive runsARMY edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass52ARMYEVEN+153RICELOW confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPARICE edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesRICE edge
  • ProtectionARMY edge
  • Completion over expectedARMY edge
Trenches52ARMYEVEN+448RICEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlARMY edge
  • Pass protectionARMY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationARMY edge
  • Pressure creationARMY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive51ARMYEVEN+151RICEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesRICE edge
  • Explosive runsARMY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeRICE edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience49ARMYEVEN+048RICEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseARMY edge
  • Momentum reversalARMY edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksRICE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceRICE edge
ARMYOFFENSEvsRICEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARMY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS72%SEASONRICE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)32TRIPS66%SEASONARMY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONRICE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARMYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARMY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)RICEOFFENSEvsARMYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATERICE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)13TRIPS54%SEASONARMY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONRICE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONARMY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)RICERED ZONETRIPS / G1.6TOUCHDOWNS7FIELD GOALS4EMPTY2+15 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | RICE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4940%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ARMY 8, RICE 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.