Gridiron Core

Visitors 425 total, 238 passing, 187 rushing. Home 394 total, 230 passing, 164 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56NEBCLEARNEB+1146ILLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNEB edge
  • Dropback successNEB edge
  • Completion over expectedNEB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceNEB edge
Rush52NEBEVEN+548ILLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANEB edge
  • Rush successNEB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsNEB edge
  • Short yardageILL edge
Pass56NEBCLEARNEB+1145ILLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANEB edge
  • Pass successNEB edge
  • Explosive passesNEB edge
  • ProtectionNEB edge
  • Completion over expectedNEB edge
Trenches51NEBEVEN+249ILLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionNEB edge
  • Short-yardage blockingILL edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationNEB edge
  • Short-yardage defenseILL edge
Explosive51NEBEVEN+348ILLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNEB edge
  • Explosive passesNEB edge
  • Explosive runsNEB edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionNEB edge
Resilience56NEBEVEN+255ILLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseILL edge
  • Defensive responseNEB edge
  • Momentum reversalNEB edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNEB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceILL edge
NEBOFFENSEvsILLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENEB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS76%SEASONILL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONNEB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONILL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NEBRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS3EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NEB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4967%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ILLOFFENSEvsNEBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEILL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONNEB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS44%SEASONILL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONNEB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ILLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ILL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NEB 8, ILL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.