Gridiron Core

Visitors 395 total, 255 passing, 140 rushing. Home 359 total, 208 passing, 151 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49ASUEVEN+048UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackASU edge
  • Dropback successASU edge
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCF edge
  • Sack avoidanceUCF edge
Rush50ASUSLIGHTASU+643UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successASU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceASU edge
  • Explosive runsUCF edge
  • Short yardageASU edge
Pass49ASUEVEN+346UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAASU edge
  • Pass successASU edge
  • Explosive passesASU edge
  • ProtectionUCF edge
  • Completion over expectedUCF edge
Trenches53ASUSLIGHTASU+747UCFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlASU edge
  • Pass protectionUCF edge
  • Short-yardage blockingASU edge
  • Stuff creationASU edge
  • Pressure creationUCF edge
  • Short-yardage defenseASU edge
Explosive50ASUEVEN+348UCFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateASU edge
  • Explosive passesASU edge
  • Explosive runsUCF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeASU edge
  • Explosive preventionASU edge
Resilience50ASUEVEN+150UCFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUCF edge
  • Defensive responseASU edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksASU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
ASUOFFENSEvsUCFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEASU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONUCF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONASU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)27%SEASONUCF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ASURED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+12 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ASU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3986%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UCFOFFENSEvsASUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS64%SEASONASU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS57%SEASONUCF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONASU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)37%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ASU 8, UCF 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.