Gridiron Core

Visitors 286 total, 176 passing, 110 rushing. Home 455 total, 263 passing, 192 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB41BGSUCLEARTOL+1152TOLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTOL edge
  • Dropback successTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTOL edge
  • Sack avoidanceTOL edge
Rush37BGSUCLEARTOL+1653TOLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATOL edge
  • Rush successTOL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTOL edge
  • Explosive runsTOL edge
  • Short yardageBGSU edge
Pass41BGSUCLEARTOL+1152TOLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATOL edge
  • Pass successTOL edge
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • ProtectionTOL edge
  • Completion over expectedTOL edge
Trenches45BGSUCLEARTOL+1155TOLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTOL edge
  • Pass protectionTOL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBGSU edge
  • Stuff creationTOL edge
  • Pressure creationTOL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBGSU edge
Explosive42BGSUCLEARTOL+1557TOLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTOL edge
  • Explosive passesTOL edge
  • Explosive runsTOL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTOL edge
  • Explosive preventionTOL edge
Resilience45BGSUCLEARTOL+1055TOLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTOL edge
  • Defensive responseTOL edge
  • Momentum reversalTOL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceBGSU edge
BGSUOFFENSEvsTOLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBGSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONTOL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS57%SEASONBGSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONTOL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BGSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS4EMPTY6+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BGSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 49100%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TOLOFFENSEvsBGSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETOL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)39TRIPS72%SEASONBGSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS55%SEASONTOL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONBGSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)34%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TOLRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS28FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TOL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BGSU 9, TOL 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.