Gridiron Core

Visitors 309 total, 210 passing, 100 rushing. Home 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB38MINNSLIGHTPSU+745PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackPSU edge
  • Dropback successPSU edge
  • Completion over expectedPSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceMINN edge
Rush43MINNEVEN+448PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMINN edge
  • Rush successPSU edge
  • Stuff avoidancePSU edge
  • Explosive runsMINN edge
  • Short yardagePSU edge
Pass40MINNSLIGHTPSU+747PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAPSU edge
  • Pass successPSU edge
  • Explosive passesPSU edge
  • ProtectionMINN edge
  • Completion over expectedPSU edge
Trenches46MINNSLIGHTPSU+754PSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPSU edge
  • Pass protectionMINN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPSU edge
  • Stuff creationPSU edge
  • Pressure creationMINN edge
  • Short-yardage defensePSU edge
Explosive48MINNEVEN+048PSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesPSU edge
  • Explosive runsMINN edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience45MINNSLIGHTPSU+1055PSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePSU edge
  • Defensive responsePSU edge
  • Momentum reversalPSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMINN edge
  • Mistake avoidancePSU edge
MINNOFFENSEvsPSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMINN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS54%SEASONPSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONMINN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONPSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINNRED ZONETRIPS / G3.5TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS10EMPTY3+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MINN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)PSUOFFENSEvsMINNDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS58%SEASONMINN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS63%SEASONPSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONMINN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)25%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 4960%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MINN 8, PSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.