Gridiron Core

Visitors 394 total, 230 passing, 164 rushing. Home 438 total, 237 passing, 201 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52ILLCLEARNU+1264NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNU edge
  • Dropback successNU edge
  • Completion over expectedNU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNU edge
  • Sack avoidanceILL edge
Rush51ILLEVEN+556NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANU edge
  • Rush successNU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsNU edge
  • Short yardageILL edge
Pass54ILLCLEARNU+1165NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANU edge
  • Pass successNU edge
  • Explosive passesNU edge
  • ProtectionILL edge
  • Completion over expectedNU edge
Trenches52ILLEVEN+548NUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionILL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingILL edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationILL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseILL edge
Explosive47ILLCLEARNU+1158NUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNU edge
  • Explosive passesNU edge
  • Explosive runsNU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNU edge
  • Explosive preventionNU edge
Resilience55ILLEVEN+054NUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNU edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalILL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksILL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
ILLOFFENSEvsNUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEILL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONNU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONILL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONNU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ILLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ILL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NUOFFENSEvsILLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS69%SEASONILL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONNU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONILL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NURED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS9EMPTY2+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ILL 8, NU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.