Gridiron Core

Visitors 326 total, 208 passing, 118 rushing. Home 348 total, 228 passing, 120 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB41NIUCLEARSJSU+1758SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackSJSU edge
  • Dropback successSJSU edge
  • Completion over expectedSJSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceSJSU edge
Rush58NIUEVEN+255SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPASJSU edge
  • Rush successNIU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsNIU edge
  • Short yardageSJSU edge
Pass40NIUCLEARSJSU+1857SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPASJSU edge
  • Pass successSJSU edge
  • Explosive passesSJSU edge
  • ProtectionSJSU edge
  • Completion over expectedSJSU edge
Trenches45NIUSLIGHTSJSU+955SJSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionSJSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingSJSU edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationSJSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseSJSU edge
Explosive53NIUEVEN+448SJSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNIU edge
  • Explosive passesSJSU edge
  • Explosive runsNIU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeSJSU edge
  • Explosive preventionNIU edge
Resilience44NIUSLIGHTSJSU+952SJSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseSJSU edge
  • Momentum reversalSJSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSJSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceSJSU edge
NIUOFFENSEvsSJSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENIU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS47%SEASONSJSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS59%SEASONNIU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONSJSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NIURED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS2EMPTY8+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NIU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3950%40 - 4960%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SJSUOFFENSEvsNIUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESJSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONNIU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS68%SEASONSJSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)46%SEASONNIU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)12%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SJSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS11EMPTY3+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SJSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NIU 8, SJSU 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.