Gridiron Core

Visitors 356 total, 211 passing, 145 rushing. Home 507 total, 256 passing, 251 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB60FRESSLIGHTFRES+853TXSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackFRES edge
  • Dropback successFRES edge
  • Completion over expectedFRES edge
  • Turnover avoidanceFRES edge
  • Sack avoidanceFRES edge
Rush40FRESCLEARTXST+1454TXSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATXST edge
  • Rush successTXST edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTXST edge
  • Explosive runsTXST edge
  • Short yardageTXST edge
Pass59FRESSLIGHTFRES+653TXSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAFRES edge
  • Pass successFRES edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionFRES edge
  • Completion over expectedFRES edge
Trenches45FRESSLIGHTTXST+955TXSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTXST edge
  • Pass protectionFRES edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTXST edge
  • Stuff creationTXST edge
  • Pressure creationFRES edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTXST edge
Explosive48FRESEVEN+552TXSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTXST edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsTXST edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTXST edge
  • Explosive preventionTXST edge
Resilience51FRESEVEN+447TXSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTXST edge
  • Defensive responseFRES edge
  • Momentum reversalFRES edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceFRES edge
FRESOFFENSEvsTXSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFRES RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS56%SEASONTXST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)36TRIPS69%SEASONFRES SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONTXST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)8%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FRESRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS7EMPTY7+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FRES KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TXSTOFFENSEvsFRESDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETXST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)38TRIPS55%SEASONFRES RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS39%SEASONTXST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONFRES FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TXSTRED ZONETRIPS / G4.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS5EMPTY12+16 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TXST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 3950%40 - 4933%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (FRES 8, TXST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.