Gridiron Core

Visitors 345 total, 198 passing, 146 rushing. Home 411 total, 199 passing, 212 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB39MTSUCLEARLIB+1655LIBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLIB edge
  • Dropback successLIB edge
  • Completion over expectedLIB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceLIB edge
  • Sack avoidanceMTSU edge
Rush44MTSUSTRONGLIB+2569LIBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALIB edge
  • Rush successLIB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceLIB edge
  • Explosive runsLIB edge
  • Short yardageLIB edge
Pass38MTSUSTRONGLIB+1957LIBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALIB edge
  • Pass successLIB edge
  • Explosive passesLIB edge
  • ProtectionMTSU edge
  • Completion over expectedLIB edge
Trenches43MTSUCLEARLIB+1457LIBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlLIB edge
  • Pass protectionMTSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLIB edge
  • Stuff creationLIB edge
  • Pressure creationMTSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLIB edge
Explosive37MTSUDOMINANTLIB+2966LIBHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLIB edge
  • Explosive passesLIB edge
  • Explosive runsLIB edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeLIB edge
  • Explosive preventionLIB edge
Resilience52MTSUEVEN+448LIBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMTSU edge
  • Defensive responseLIB edge
  • Momentum reversalMTSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLIB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMTSU edge
MTSUOFFENSEvsLIBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMTSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS67%SEASONLIB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)14TRIPS43%SEASONMTSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONLIB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)43%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MTSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MTSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)LIBOFFENSEvsMTSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELIB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS69%SEASONMTSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONLIB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONMTSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LIBRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS25FIELD GOALS8EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LIB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MTSU 8, LIB 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.