Gridiron Core

Visitors 345 total, 198 passing, 146 rushing. Home 323 total, 247 passing, 76 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB41MTSUSLIGHTSHSU+546SHSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackSHSU edge
  • Dropback successSHSU edge
  • Completion over expectedSHSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMTSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceMTSU edge
Rush55MTSUSLIGHTMTSU+550SHSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMTSU edge
  • Rush successMTSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMTSU edge
  • Explosive runsMTSU edge
  • Short yardageMTSU edge
Pass40MTSUSLIGHTSHSU+746SHSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPASHSU edge
  • Pass successSHSU edge
  • Explosive passesSHSU edge
  • ProtectionMTSU edge
  • Completion over expectedSHSU edge
Trenches53MTSUSLIGHTMTSU+647SHSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMTSU edge
  • Pass protectionMTSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMTSU edge
  • Stuff creationMTSU edge
  • Pressure creationMTSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMTSU edge
Explosive48MTSUEVEN+452SHSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateSHSU edge
  • Explosive passesSHSU edge
  • Explosive runsMTSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeSHSU edge
  • Explosive preventionSHSU edge
Resilience52MTSUCLEARMTSU+1240SHSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMTSU edge
  • Defensive responseMTSU edge
  • Momentum reversalMTSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMTSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMTSU edge
MTSUOFFENSEvsSHSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMTSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS67%SEASONSHSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONMTSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONSHSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MTSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MTSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SHSUOFFENSEvsMTSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESHSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS47%SEASONMTSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONSHSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONMTSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SHSURED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS4EMPTY6+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SHSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MTSU 8, SHSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.