Gridiron Core

Visitors 451 total, 249 passing, 202 rushing. Home 400 total, 232 passing, 167 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51JMUCLEARJMU+1140USMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackJMU edge
  • Dropback successJMU edge
  • Completion over expectedJMU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceJMU edge
  • Sack avoidanceUSM edge
Rush55JMUSLIGHTJMU+748USMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAJMU edge
  • Rush successJMU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceJMU edge
  • Explosive runsUSM edge
  • Short yardageJMU edge
Pass51JMUSLIGHTJMU+1041USMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAJMU edge
  • Pass successJMU edge
  • Explosive passesJMU edge
  • ProtectionUSM edge
  • Completion over expectedJMU edge
Trenches52JMUEVEN+448USMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlJMU edge
  • Pass protectionUSM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingJMU edge
  • Stuff creationJMU edge
  • Pressure creationUSM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseJMU edge
Explosive50JMUEVEN+049USMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesJMU edge
  • Explosive runsUSM edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeJMU edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience53JMUEVEN+349USMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseJMU edge
  • Defensive responseJMU edge
  • Momentum reversalJMU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksJMU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUSM edge
JMUOFFENSEvsUSMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEJMU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)40TRIPS70%SEASONUSM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS58%SEASONJMU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONUSM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)JMURED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS28FIELD GOALS9EMPTY3+14 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | JMU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)USMOFFENSEvsJMUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS69%SEASONJMU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS50%SEASONUSM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONJMU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USMRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS2EMPTY7+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 290%30 - 3960%40 - 4933%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (JMU 9, USM 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.