Gridiron Core

Visitors 379 total, 243 passing, 136 rushing. Home 382 total, 245 passing, 137 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56ARSTSLIGHTARST+551CCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCCU edge
  • Dropback successARST edge
  • Completion over expectedARST edge
  • Turnover avoidanceARST edge
  • Sack avoidanceCCU edge
Rush58ARSTEVEN+256CCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successARST edge
  • Stuff avoidanceARST edge
  • Explosive runsCCU edge
  • Short yardageCCU edge
Pass58ARSTEVEN+255CCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACCU edge
  • Pass successARST edge
  • Explosive passesARST edge
  • ProtectionCCU edge
  • Completion over expectedARST edge
Trenches48ARSTEVEN+552CCUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlARST edge
  • Pass protectionCCU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCCU edge
  • Stuff creationARST edge
  • Pressure creationCCU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCCU edge
Explosive53ARSTEVEN+153CCUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesARST edge
  • Explosive runsCCU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience51ARSTEVEN+249CCUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARST edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalARST edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceARST edge
ARSTOFFENSEvsCCUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS69%SEASONCCU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS57%SEASONARST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONCCU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4943%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CCUOFFENSEvsARSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECCU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)17TRIPS65%SEASONARST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS72%SEASONCCU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONARST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CCURED ZONETRIPS / G2.1TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS2EMPTY4+15 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CCU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+80%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ARST 8, CCU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.