Gridiron Core

Visitors 352 total, 194 passing, 157 rushing. Home 365 total, 276 passing, 90 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52NDSUCLEARNDSU+1339HAWMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNDSU edge
  • Dropback successNDSU edge
  • Completion over expectedNDSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNDSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceNDSU edge
Rush47NDSUEVEN+146HAWMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANDSU edge
  • Rush successHAW edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageEven
Pass53NDSUCLEARNDSU+1539HAWMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANDSU edge
  • Pass successNDSU edge
  • Explosive passesNDSU edge
  • ProtectionNDSU edge
  • Completion over expectedNDSU edge
Trenches53NDSUSLIGHTNDSU+647HAWMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionNDSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationNDSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive54NDSUCLEARNDSU+1143HAWHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNDSU edge
  • Explosive passesNDSU edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeNDSU edge
  • Explosive preventionNDSU edge
Resilience52NDSUEVEN+254HAWMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNDSU edge
  • Defensive responseHAW edge
  • Momentum reversalNDSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksHAW edge
  • Mistake avoidanceHAW edge
NDSUOFFENSEvsHAWDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENDSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS61%SEASONHAW RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS72%SEASONNDSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONHAW FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NDSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS7EMPTY5+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NDSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)HAWOFFENSEvsNDSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHAW RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONNDSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)14TRIPS43%SEASONHAW SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONNDSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HAWRED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HAW KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NDSU 9, HAW 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.