Gridiron Core

Visitors 372 total, 277 passing, 95 rushing. Home 291 total, 181 passing, 110 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56WASHCLEARWASH+1343MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWASH edge
  • Dropback successWASH edge
  • Completion over expectedWASH edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWASH edge
  • Sack avoidanceWASH edge
Rush46WASHEVEN+344MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWASH edge
  • Rush successWASH edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMSU edge
  • Explosive runsWASH edge
  • Short yardageWASH edge
Pass55WASHCLEARWASH+1243MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWASH edge
  • Pass successWASH edge
  • Explosive passesWASH edge
  • ProtectionWASH edge
  • Completion over expectedWASH edge
Trenches50WASHEVEN+150MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMSU edge
  • Pass protectionWASH edge
  • Short-yardage blockingWASH edge
  • Stuff creationMSU edge
  • Pressure creationWASH edge
  • Short-yardage defenseWASH edge
Explosive58WASHSTRONGWASH+1940MSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWASH edge
  • Explosive passesWASH edge
  • Explosive runsWASH edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWASH edge
  • Explosive preventionWASH edge
Resilience52WASHEVEN+348MSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWASH edge
  • Defensive responseWASH edge
  • Momentum reversalWASH edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksWASH edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMSU edge
WASHOFFENSEvsMSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWASH RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS64%SEASONMSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONWASH SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONMSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WASHRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WASH KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MSUOFFENSEvsWASHDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS58%SEASONWASH RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS54%SEASONMSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONWASH FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WASH 8, MSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.