Gridiron Core

Visitors 336 total, 169 passing, 167 rushing. Home 326 total, 208 passing, 118 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50NEVSLIGHTNEV+941NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNEV edge
  • Dropback successNEV edge
  • Completion over expectedNEV edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNIU edge
  • Sack avoidanceNEV edge
Rush60NEVSLIGHTNEV+554NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANEV edge
  • Rush successNEV edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNIU edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageNEV edge
Pass53NEVCLEARNEV+1538NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANEV edge
  • Pass successNEV edge
  • Explosive passesNEV edge
  • ProtectionNEV edge
  • Completion over expectedNEV edge
Trenches52NEVEVEN+448NIUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNIU edge
  • Pass protectionNEV edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNEV edge
  • Stuff creationNIU edge
  • Pressure creationNEV edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNEV edge
Explosive53NEVSLIGHTNEV+845NIUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNEV edge
  • Explosive passesNEV edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeNEV edge
  • Explosive preventionNEV edge
Resilience43NEVEVEN+144NIUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseNIU edge
  • Momentum reversalNIU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNEV edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNIU edge
NEVOFFENSEvsNIUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENEV RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS54%SEASONNIU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS68%SEASONNEV SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONNIU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)12%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NEVRED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NEV KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NIUOFFENSEvsNEVDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENIU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS47%SEASONNEV RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS67%SEASONNIU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONNEV FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NIURED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS2EMPTY8+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NIU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3950%40 - 4960%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NEV 8, NIU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.