Gridiron Core

Visitors 449 total, 227 passing, 223 rushing. Home 436 total, 272 passing, 165 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB71BOISSTRONGBOIS+2249CSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackBOIS edge
  • Dropback successBOIS edge
  • Completion over expectedBOIS edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceBOIS edge
Rush70BOISSTRONGBOIS+1951CSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABOIS edge
  • Rush successBOIS edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBOIS edge
  • Explosive runsBOIS edge
  • Short yardageBOIS edge
Pass73BOISSTRONGBOIS+2349CSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPABOIS edge
  • Pass successBOIS edge
  • Explosive passesBOIS edge
  • ProtectionBOIS edge
  • Completion over expectedBOIS edge
Trenches60BOISSTRONGBOIS+2040CSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBOIS edge
  • Pass protectionBOIS edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBOIS edge
  • Stuff creationBOIS edge
  • Pressure creationBOIS edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBOIS edge
Explosive62BOISSTRONGBOIS+2042CSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBOIS edge
  • Explosive passesBOIS edge
  • Explosive runsBOIS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBOIS edge
  • Explosive preventionBOIS edge
Resilience56BOISCLEARBOIS+1244CSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBOIS edge
  • Defensive responseBOIS edge
  • Momentum reversalBOIS edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBOIS edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCSU edge
BOISOFFENSEvsCSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBOIS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS71%SEASONCSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)41TRIPS71%SEASONBOIS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONCSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BOISRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS25FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BOIS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CSUOFFENSEvsBOISDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS80%SEASONBOIS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONCSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)3%SEASONBOIS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS1EMPTY5+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39—40 - 49100%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BOIS 8, CSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.