Gridiron Core

Visitors 367 total, 238 passing, 129 rushing. Home 424 total, 294 passing, 129 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50MDCLEARUSC+1160USCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUSC edge
  • Dropback successUSC edge
  • Completion over expectedUSC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMD edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush45MDSLIGHTUSC+652USCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUSC edge
  • Rush successUSC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUSC edge
  • Explosive runsUSC edge
  • Short yardageUSC edge
Pass51MDCLEARUSC+1161USCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUSC edge
  • Pass successUSC edge
  • Explosive passesUSC edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedUSC edge
Trenches48MDEVEN+352USCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSC edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingUSC edge
  • Stuff creationUSC edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseUSC edge
Explosive48MDEVEN+453USCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUSC edge
  • Explosive passesUSC edge
  • Explosive runsUSC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUSC edge
  • Explosive preventionUSC edge
Resilience48MDSLIGHTUSC+654USCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUSC edge
  • Defensive responseUSC edge
  • Momentum reversalUSC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUSC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMD edge
MDOFFENSEvsUSCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMD RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS70%SEASONUSC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS62%SEASONMD SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONUSC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MDRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MD KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)USCOFFENSEvsMDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)44TRIPS66%SEASONMD RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS80%SEASONUSC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONMD FORCED FG(DEFENSE)16%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USCRED ZONETRIPS / G4.9TOUCHDOWNS29FIELD GOALS7EMPTY8+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3988%40 - 490%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MD 8, USC 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.