Gridiron Core

Visitors 421 total, 236 passing, 185 rushing. Home 457 total, 283 passing, 175 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB57DUKEEVEN+255WAKEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWAKE edge
  • Dropback successWAKE edge
  • Completion over expectedDUKE edge
  • Turnover avoidanceDUKE edge
  • Sack avoidanceDUKE edge
Rush40DUKECLEARWAKE+1252WAKEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWAKE edge
  • Rush successWAKE edge
  • Stuff avoidanceWAKE edge
  • Explosive runsWAKE edge
  • Short yardageWAKE edge
Pass53DUKEEVEN+155WAKEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWAKE edge
  • Pass successWAKE edge
  • Explosive passesWAKE edge
  • ProtectionDUKE edge
  • Completion over expectedDUKE edge
Trenches51DUKEEVEN+249WAKEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlWAKE edge
  • Pass protectionDUKE edge
  • Short-yardage blockingWAKE edge
  • Stuff creationWAKE edge
  • Pressure creationDUKE edge
  • Short-yardage defenseWAKE edge
Explosive41DUKESTRONGWAKE+1859WAKEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWAKE edge
  • Explosive passesWAKE edge
  • Explosive runsWAKE edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWAKE edge
  • Explosive preventionWAKE edge
Resilience56DUKEEVEN+254WAKEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWAKE edge
  • Defensive responseDUKE edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksDUKE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceDUKE edge
DUKEOFFENSEvsWAKEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEDUKE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS62%SEASONWAKE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS50%SEASONDUKE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONWAKE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)DUKERED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | DUKE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)WAKEOFFENSEvsDUKEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAKE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)38TRIPS74%SEASONDUKE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS50%SEASONWAKE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)24%SEASONDUKE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)25%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WAKERED ZONETRIPS / G4.8TOUCHDOWNS28FIELD GOALS9EMPTY1+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAKE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (DUKE 8, WAKE 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.