Gridiron Core

Visitors 296 total, 188 passing, 108 rushing. Home 292 total, 122 passing, 169 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB40SACEVEN+141CMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCMU edge
  • Dropback successSAC edge
  • Completion over expectedCMU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceSAC edge
  • Sack avoidanceCMU edge
Rush53SACEVEN+154CMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPASAC edge
  • Rush successSAC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCMU edge
  • Explosive runsSAC edge
  • Short yardageSAC edge
Pass39SACEVEN+341CMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACMU edge
  • Pass successSAC edge
  • Explosive passesCMU edge
  • ProtectionCMU edge
  • Completion over expectedCMU edge
Trenches45SACCLEARCMU+1055CMUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCMU edge
  • Pass protectionCMU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingSAC edge
  • Stuff creationCMU edge
  • Pressure creationCMU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseSAC edge
Explosive47SACEVEN+248CMUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesCMU edge
  • Explosive runsSAC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCMU edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience46SACEVEN+541CMUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseSAC edge
  • Defensive responseSAC edge
  • Momentum reversalSAC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSAC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCMU edge
SACOFFENSEvsCMUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESAC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS36%SEASONCMU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)33TRIPS67%SEASONSAC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)55%SEASONCMU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SACRED ZONETRIPS / G2.4TOUCHDOWNS8FIELD GOALS10EMPTY4+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SAC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2983%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CMUOFFENSEvsSACDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECMU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)12TRIPS58%SEASONSAC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONCMU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONSAC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CMURED ZONETRIPS / G1.5TOUCHDOWNS7FIELD GOALS3EMPTY2+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CMU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (SAC 9, CMU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.