Gridiron Core

Visitors 336 total, 231 passing, 105 rushing. Home 359 total, 224 passing, 135 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB42ARKSLIGHTTEX+850TEXMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTEX edge
  • Dropback successTEX edge
  • Completion over expectedTEX edge
  • Turnover avoidanceARK edge
  • Sack avoidanceTEX edge
Rush41ARKCLEARTEX+1455TEXMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATEX edge
  • Rush successTEX edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTEX edge
  • Explosive runsTEX edge
  • Short yardageTEX edge
Pass38ARKCLEARTEX+1251TEXMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATEX edge
  • Pass successTEX edge
  • Explosive passesTEX edge
  • ProtectionTEX edge
  • Completion over expectedTEX edge
Trenches48ARKEVEN+352TEXMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTEX edge
  • Pass protectionTEX edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTEX edge
  • Stuff creationTEX edge
  • Pressure creationTEX edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTEX edge
Explosive35ARKSTRONGTEX+2560TEXHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTEX edge
  • Explosive passesTEX edge
  • Explosive runsTEX edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTEX edge
  • Explosive preventionTEX edge
Resilience49ARKEVEN+251TEXHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseTEX edge
  • Momentum reversalARK edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTEX edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTEX edge
ARKOFFENSEvsTEXDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARK RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS52%SEASONTEX RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS42%SEASONARK SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONTEX FORCED FG(DEFENSE)47%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARKRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARK KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 49100%50+20%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TEXOFFENSEvsARKDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEX RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONARK RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS81%SEASONTEX SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)28%SEASONARK FORCED FG(DEFENSE)6%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TEXRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS8EMPTY2+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEX KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ARK 8, TEX 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.