Gridiron Core

Visitors 343 total, 237 passing, 106 rushing. Home 408 total, 247 passing, 162 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56VANEVEN+155MSSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackVAN edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedVAN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMSST edge
  • Sack avoidanceVAN edge
Rush46VANSLIGHTMSST+955MSSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMSST edge
  • Rush successMSST edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsMSST edge
  • Short yardageMSST edge
Pass56VANEVEN+353MSSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAVAN edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesVAN edge
  • ProtectionVAN edge
  • Completion over expectedVAN edge
Trenches50VANEVEN+050MSSTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionVAN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMSST edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationVAN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMSST edge
Explosive46VANEVEN+551MSSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMSST edge
  • Explosive passesVAN edge
  • Explosive runsMSST edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMSST edge
  • Explosive preventionMSST edge
Resilience41VANEVEN+444MSSTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseMSST edge
  • Momentum reversalVAN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMSST edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMSST edge
VANOFFENSEvsMSSTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEVAN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS70%SEASONMSST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONVAN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONMSST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)VANRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | VAN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MSSTOFFENSEvsVANDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMSST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONVAN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS70%SEASONMSST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONVAN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MSSTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MSST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (VAN 8, MSST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.