Gridiron Core

Visitors 437 total, 275 passing, 161 rushing. Home 408 total, 249 passing, 159 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55SYREVEN+156NCSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNCSU edge
  • Dropback successNCSU edge
  • Completion over expectedSYR edge
  • Turnover avoidanceSYR edge
  • Sack avoidanceSYR edge
Rush48SYREVEN+451NCSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANCSU edge
  • Rush successNCSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNCSU edge
  • Explosive runsSYR edge
  • Short yardageNCSU edge
Pass54SYREVEN+155NCSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANCSU edge
  • Pass successNCSU edge
  • Explosive passesNCSU edge
  • ProtectionSYR edge
  • Completion over expectedSYR edge
Trenches51SYREVEN+149NCSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNCSU edge
  • Pass protectionSYR edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNCSU edge
  • Stuff creationNCSU edge
  • Pressure creationSYR edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNCSU edge
Explosive50SYREVEN+249NCSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateSYR edge
  • Explosive passesNCSU edge
  • Explosive runsSYR edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionSYR edge
Resilience46SYREVEN+248NCSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseNCSU edge
  • Momentum reversalNCSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSYR edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNCSU edge
SYROFFENSEvsNCSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESYR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)42TRIPS55%SEASONNCSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS75%SEASONSYR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)33%SEASONNCSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)13%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SYRRED ZONETRIPS / G5.3TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS12EMPTY7+7 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SYR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2988%30 - 3980%40 - 4917%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NCSUOFFENSEvsSYRDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENCSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS68%SEASONSYR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONNCSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONSYR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NCSURED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NCSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (SYR 8, NCSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.