Gridiron Core

Visitors 383 total, 193 passing, 190 rushing. Home 438 total, 239 passing, 200 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50ULEVEN+347GASTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUL edge
  • Dropback successUL edge
  • Completion over expectedUL edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUL edge
  • Sack avoidanceGAST edge
Rush53ULEVEN+052GASTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUL edge
  • Rush successGAST edge
  • Stuff avoidanceGAST edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageUL edge
Pass50ULEVEN+347GASTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUL edge
  • Pass successUL edge
  • Explosive passesUL edge
  • ProtectionGAST edge
  • Completion over expectedUL edge
Trenches49ULEVEN+351GASTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlGAST edge
  • Pass protectionGAST edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUL edge
  • Stuff creationGAST edge
  • Pressure creationGAST edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUL edge
Explosive54ULSLIGHTUL+648GASTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUL edge
  • Explosive passesUL edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeUL edge
  • Explosive preventionUL edge
Resilience57ULSLIGHTUL+750GASTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUL edge
  • Defensive responseUL edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUL edge
ULOFFENSEvsGASTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONGAST RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONUL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONGAST FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ULRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)GASTOFFENSEvsULDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGAST RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONUL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS68%SEASONGAST SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONUL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)18%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GASTRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS8EMPTY6+13 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GAST KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UL 8, GAST 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.