Gridiron Core

Visitors 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing. Home 367 total, 238 passing, 129 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56PSUCLEARPSU+1640MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackPSU edge
  • Dropback successPSU edge
  • Completion over expectedPSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceMD edge
Rush52PSUEVEN+447MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMD edge
  • Rush successPSU edge
  • Stuff avoidancePSU edge
  • Explosive runsMD edge
  • Short yardagePSU edge
Pass57PSUCLEARPSU+1542MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAPSU edge
  • Pass successPSU edge
  • Explosive passesPSU edge
  • ProtectionMD edge
  • Completion over expectedPSU edge
Trenches56PSUCLEARPSU+1244MDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPSU edge
  • Pass protectionMD edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPSU edge
  • Stuff creationPSU edge
  • Pressure creationMD edge
  • Short-yardage defensePSU edge
Explosive46PSUSLIGHTMD+653MDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMD edge
  • Explosive passesPSU edge
  • Explosive runsMD edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMD edge
  • Explosive preventionMD edge
Resilience55PSUSLIGHTPSU+748MDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePSU edge
  • Defensive responsePSU edge
  • Momentum reversalPSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMD edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
PSUOFFENSEvsMDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS58%SEASONMD RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS80%SEASONPSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONMD FORCED FG(DEFENSE)16%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.9TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3983%40 - 4960%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MDOFFENSEvsPSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMD RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS70%SEASONPSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONMD SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)21%SEASONPSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)24%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MDRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MD KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (PSU 8, MD 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.