Gridiron Core

Visitors 326 total, 196 passing, 130 rushing. Home 325 total, 168 passing, 156 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB53USUSLIGHTUSU+746SDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUSU edge
  • Dropback successUSU edge
  • Completion over expectedUSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceSDSU edge
Rush52USUSLIGHTUSU+943SDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUSU edge
  • Rush successUSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUSU edge
  • Explosive runsSDSU edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass53USUSLIGHTUSU+845SDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUSU edge
  • Pass successUSU edge
  • Explosive passesUSU edge
  • ProtectionSDSU edge
  • Completion over expectedUSU edge
Trenches52USUEVEN+348SDSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSU edge
  • Pass protectionSDSU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationUSU edge
  • Pressure creationSDSU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive51USUSLIGHTUSU+546SDSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUSU edge
  • Explosive passesUSU edge
  • Explosive runsSDSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUSU edge
  • Explosive preventionUSU edge
Resilience45USUEVEN+349SDSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseSDSU edge
  • Defensive responseUSU edge
  • Momentum reversalSDSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceSDSU edge
USUOFFENSEvsSDSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS48%SEASONSDSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)39TRIPS67%SEASONUSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONSDSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USURED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS4EMPTY8+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 390%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)SDSUOFFENSEvsUSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESDSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS63%SEASONUSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS48%SEASONSDSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONUSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)43%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SDSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS6EMPTY6+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SDSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4983%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (USU 8, SDSU 9), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.