Gridiron Core

Visitors 435 total, 284 passing, 151 rushing. Home 471 total, 267 passing, 204 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB53BAYEVEN+548HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackBAY edge
  • Dropback successHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceHOU edge
  • Sack avoidanceBAY edge
Rush51BAYEVEN+447HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABAY edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsBAY edge
  • Short yardageBAY edge
Pass54BAYSLIGHTBAY+747HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPABAY edge
  • Pass successHOU edge
  • Explosive passesBAY edge
  • ProtectionBAY edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches54BAYSLIGHTBAY+846HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionBAY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBAY edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationBAY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBAY edge
Explosive55BAYSLIGHTBAY+1045HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBAY edge
  • Explosive passesBAY edge
  • Explosive runsBAY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBAY edge
  • Explosive preventionBAY edge
Resilience54BAYEVEN+351HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseBAY edge
  • Momentum reversalBAY edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBAY edge
  • Mistake avoidanceBAY edge
BAYOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS53%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS73%SEASONBAY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)18%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BAYRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS17FIELD GOALS8EMPTY7+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4950%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)HOUOFFENSEvsBAYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)41TRIPS71%SEASONBAY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS33%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)15%SEASONBAY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)42%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G5.1TOUCHDOWNS29FIELD GOALS5EMPTY7+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BAY 8, HOU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.