Gridiron Core

Visitors 428 total, 208 passing, 220 rushing. Home 316 total, 178 passing, 138 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB41UCLASLIGHTUCLA+1031MICHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUCLA edge
  • Dropback successUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Sack avoidanceUCLA edge
Rush49UCLACLEARUCLA+1236MICHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUCLA edge
  • Rush successUCLA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUCLA edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Short yardageUCLA edge
Pass41UCLASLIGHTUCLA+635MICHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUCLA edge
  • Pass successUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesMICH edge
  • ProtectionUCLA edge
  • Completion over expectedUCLA edge
Trenches56UCLACLEARUCLA+1144MICHMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUCLA edge
  • Pass protectionUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUCLA edge
  • Stuff creationUCLA edge
  • Pressure creationUCLA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUCLA edge
Explosive49UCLAEVEN+346MICHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUCLA edge
  • Explosive passesMICH edge
  • Explosive runsUCLA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUCLA edge
  • Explosive preventionUCLA edge
Resilience51UCLAEVEN+149MICHHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseUCLA edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMICH edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMICH edge
UCLAOFFENSEvsMICHDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUCLA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS58%SEASONMICH RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS42%SEASONUCLA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)19%SEASONMICH FORCED FG(DEFENSE)53%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UCLARED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS6EMPTY9+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UCLA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2975%30 - 39100%40 - 4950%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MICHOFFENSEvsUCLADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMICH RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS56%SEASONUCLA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS50%SEASONMICH SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)24%SEASONUCLA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)22%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MICHRED ZONETRIPS / G3.1TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS4EMPTY7+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MICH KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 390%40 - 4975%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (UCLA 8, MICH 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.