Gridiron Core

Visitors 359 total, 224 passing, 135 rushing. Home 425 total, 257 passing, 168 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44TEXEVEN+246MIZMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTEX edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedTEX edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIZ edge
  • Sack avoidanceMIZ edge
Rush45TEXSLIGHTTEX+540MIZHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successTEX edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsTEX edge
  • Short yardageMIZ edge
Pass45TEXEVEN+242MIZMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATEX edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesTEX edge
  • ProtectionMIZ edge
  • Completion over expectedTEX edge
Trenches48TEXEVEN+452MIZMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionMIZ edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMIZ edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationMIZ edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMIZ edge
Explosive54TEXCLEARTEX+1143MIZHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTEX edge
  • Explosive passesTEX edge
  • Explosive runsTEX edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTEX edge
  • Explosive preventionTEX edge
Resilience51TEXEVEN+051MIZHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseMIZ edge
  • Momentum reversalTEX edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTEX edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMIZ edge
TEXOFFENSEvsMIZDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEX RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONMIZ RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS45%SEASONTEX SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)28%SEASONMIZ FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TEXRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS8EMPTY2+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEX KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MIZOFFENSEvsTEXDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIZ RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)35TRIPS51%SEASONTEX RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS42%SEASONMIZ SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONTEX FORCED FG(DEFENSE)47%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIZRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS8EMPTY9+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIZ KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 3978%40 - 49—50+63%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TEX 8, MIZ 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.