Gridiron Core

Visitors 329 total, 205 passing, 124 rushing. Home 319 total, 170 passing, 149 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB42CLTCLEARUAB+1456UABMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackUAB edge
  • Dropback successUAB edge
  • Completion over expectedUAB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceUAB edge
  • Sack avoidanceUAB edge
Rush48CLTEVEN+452UABMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUAB edge
  • Rush successUAB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCLT edge
  • Explosive runsCLT edge
  • Short yardageUAB edge
Pass41CLTCLEARUAB+1355UABMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAUAB edge
  • Pass successUAB edge
  • Explosive passesUAB edge
  • ProtectionUAB edge
  • Completion over expectedUAB edge
Trenches49CLTEVEN+151UABMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCLT edge
  • Pass protectionUAB edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUAB edge
  • Stuff creationCLT edge
  • Pressure creationUAB edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUAB edge
Explosive47CLTSLIGHTUAB+754UABHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUAB edge
  • Explosive passesUAB edge
  • Explosive runsCLT edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUAB edge
  • Explosive preventionUAB edge
Resilience46CLTEVEN+350UABHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUAB edge
  • Defensive responseUAB edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUAB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUAB edge
CLTOFFENSEvsUABDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECLT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)20TRIPS65%SEASONUAB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS63%SEASONCLT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)15%SEASONUAB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CLTRED ZONETRIPS / G2.5TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS3EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CLT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39—40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UABOFFENSEvsCLTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUAB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS36%SEASONCLT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)37TRIPS76%SEASONUAB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)50%SEASONCLT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)16%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UABRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS8FIELD GOALS10EMPTY4+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UAB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4980%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CLT 8, UAB 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.