Gridiron Core

Visitors 438 total, 247 passing, 191 rushing. Home 328 total, 142 passing, 186 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47CONNEVEN+249WYOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successWYO edge
  • Completion over expectedWYO edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCONN edge
  • Sack avoidanceWYO edge
Rush64CONNEVEN+262WYOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACONN edge
  • Rush successCONN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceWYO edge
  • Explosive runsCONN edge
  • Short yardageCONN edge
Pass45CONNEVEN+348WYOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successWYO edge
  • Explosive passesCONN edge
  • ProtectionWYO edge
  • Completion over expectedWYO edge
Trenches45CONNSLIGHTWYO+955WYOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlWYO edge
  • Pass protectionWYO edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCONN edge
  • Stuff creationWYO edge
  • Pressure creationWYO edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCONN edge
Explosive54CONNSLIGHTCONN+747WYOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateCONN edge
  • Explosive passesCONN edge
  • Explosive runsCONN edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCONN edge
  • Explosive preventionCONN edge
Resilience50CONNEVEN+149WYOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCONN edge
  • Defensive responseWYO edge
  • Momentum reversalCONN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceWYO edge
CONNOFFENSEvsWYODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECONN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS75%SEASONWYO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS40%SEASONCONN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONWYO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)37%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CONNRED ZONETRIPS / G3.5TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS3EMPTY4+15 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CONN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39—40 - 4925%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)WYOOFFENSEvsCONNDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWYO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS50%SEASONCONN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS68%SEASONWYO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONCONN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WYORED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS9EMPTY6+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WYO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CONN 8, WYO 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.