Gridiron Core

Visitors 370 total, 212 passing, 158 rushing. Home 409 total, 224 passing, 185 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52TLSAEVEN+052UTSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTLSA edge
  • Dropback successUTSA edge
  • Completion over expectedUTSA edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTLSA edge
  • Sack avoidanceTLSA edge
Rush52TLSASLIGHTUTSA+657UTSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAUTSA edge
  • Rush successUTSA edge
  • Stuff avoidanceUTSA edge
  • Explosive runsUTSA edge
  • Short yardageTLSA edge
Pass50TLSAEVEN+251UTSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATLSA edge
  • Pass successUTSA edge
  • Explosive passesUTSA edge
  • ProtectionTLSA edge
  • Completion over expectedUTSA edge
Trenches52TLSAEVEN+548UTSAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUTSA edge
  • Pass protectionTLSA edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTLSA edge
  • Stuff creationUTSA edge
  • Pressure creationTLSA edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTLSA edge
Explosive45TLSASLIGHTUTSA+752UTSAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUTSA edge
  • Explosive passesUTSA edge
  • Explosive runsUTSA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUTSA edge
  • Explosive preventionUTSA edge
Resilience47TLSASLIGHTUTSA+855UTSAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseUTSA edge
  • Defensive responseUTSA edge
  • Momentum reversalUTSA edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUTSA edge
  • Mistake avoidanceUTSA edge
TLSAOFFENSEvsUTSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETLSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS72%SEASONUTSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONTLSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONUTSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TLSARED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS3EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TLSA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)UTSAOFFENSEvsTLSADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUTSA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS59%SEASONTLSA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONUTSA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)31%SEASONTLSA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)UTSARED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS8EMPTY5+12 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | UTSA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3975%40 - 4975%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TLSA 8, UTSA 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.