Gridiron Core

Visitors 388 total, 226 passing, 162 rushing. Home 332 total, 210 passing, 122 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47MRSHEVEN+344ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMRSH edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedMRSH edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMRSH edge
  • Sack avoidanceULM edge
Rush57MRSHSLIGHTMRSH+750ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAMRSH edge
  • Rush successMRSH edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMRSH edge
  • Explosive runsMRSH edge
  • Short yardageMRSH edge
Pass47MRSHEVEN+245ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMRSH edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesMRSH edge
  • ProtectionULM edge
  • Completion over expectedMRSH edge
Trenches52MRSHEVEN+348ULMMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMRSH edge
  • Pass protectionULM edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMRSH edge
  • Stuff creationMRSH edge
  • Pressure creationULM edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMRSH edge
Explosive52MRSHEVEN+547ULMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMRSH edge
  • Explosive passesMRSH edge
  • Explosive runsMRSH edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMRSH edge
  • Explosive preventionMRSH edge
Resilience46MRSHEVEN+247ULMHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseMRSH edge
  • Momentum reversalMRSH edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksULM edge
  • Mistake avoidanceULM edge
MRSHOFFENSEvsULMDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMRSH RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)36TRIPS42%SEASONULM RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONMRSH SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)39%SEASONULM FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MRSHRED ZONETRIPS / G4.5TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS12EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MRSH KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 3988%40 - 4967%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ULMOFFENSEvsMRSHDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEULM RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS64%SEASONMRSH RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONULM SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONMRSH FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ULMRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS4EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ULM KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2950%30 - 39100%40 - 4925%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MRSH 8, ULM 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.