Gridiron Core

Visitors 404 total, 109 passing, 296 rushing. Home 329 total, 205 passing, 124 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB61NAVYEVEN+458CLTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNAVY edge
  • Dropback successNAVY edge
  • Completion over expectedCLT edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNAVY edge
  • Sack avoidanceNAVY edge
Rush62NAVYCLEARNAVY+1646CLTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANAVY edge
  • Rush successNAVY edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNAVY edge
  • Explosive runsNAVY edge
  • Short yardageNAVY edge
Pass61NAVYEVEN+358CLTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANAVY edge
  • Pass successNAVY edge
  • Explosive passesNAVY edge
  • ProtectionNAVY edge
  • Completion over expectedCLT edge
Trenches55NAVYCLEARNAVY+1045CLTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNAVY edge
  • Pass protectionNAVY edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNAVY edge
  • Stuff creationNAVY edge
  • Pressure creationNAVY edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNAVY edge
Explosive56NAVYSLIGHTNAVY+749CLTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNAVY edge
  • Explosive passesNAVY edge
  • Explosive runsNAVY edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNAVY edge
  • Explosive preventionNAVY edge
Resilience46NAVYEVEN+046CLTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNAVY edge
  • Defensive responseCLT edge
  • Momentum reversalNAVY edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCLT edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCLT edge
NAVYOFFENSEvsCLTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENAVY RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS70%SEASONCLT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)37TRIPS76%SEASONNAVY SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONCLT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)16%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NAVYRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NAVY KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 490%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CLTOFFENSEvsNAVYDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECLT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)20TRIPS65%SEASONNAVY RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONCLT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)15%SEASONNAVY FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CLTRED ZONETRIPS / G2.5TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS3EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CLT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39—40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NAVY 8, CLT 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.