Gridiron Core

Visitors 356 total, 211 passing, 145 rushing. Home 326 total, 196 passing, 130 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51FRESSLIGHTFRES+745USUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackFRES edge
  • Dropback successFRES edge
  • Completion over expectedFRES edge
  • Turnover avoidanceFRES edge
  • Sack avoidanceFRES edge
Rush43FRESEVEN+347USUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceUSU edge
  • Explosive runsUSU edge
  • Short yardageUSU edge
Pass48FRESEVEN+445USUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAFRES edge
  • Pass successFRES edge
  • Explosive passesUSU edge
  • ProtectionFRES edge
  • Completion over expectedFRES edge
Trenches49FRESEVEN+251USUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlUSU edge
  • Pass protectionFRES edge
  • Short-yardage blockingUSU edge
  • Stuff creationUSU edge
  • Pressure creationFRES edge
  • Short-yardage defenseUSU edge
Explosive45FRESSLIGHTUSU+752USUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateUSU edge
  • Explosive passesUSU edge
  • Explosive runsUSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeUSU edge
  • Explosive preventionUSU edge
Resilience51FRESSLIGHTFRES+545USUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseFRES edge
  • Defensive responseUSU edge
  • Momentum reversalFRES edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksUSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceFRES edge
FRESOFFENSEvsUSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFRES RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS56%SEASONUSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS48%SEASONFRES SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONUSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)43%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FRESRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS7EMPTY7+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FRES KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)USUOFFENSEvsFRESDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEUSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS48%SEASONFRES RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS39%SEASONUSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONFRES FORCED FG(DEFENSE)39%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)USURED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS4EMPTY8+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | USU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 390%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (FRES 8, USU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.