Gridiron Core

Visitors 492 total, 267 passing, 225 rushing. Home 361 total, 241 passing, 120 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55LOUSLIGHTLOU+748GTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLOU edge
  • Dropback successLOU edge
  • Completion over expectedGT edge
  • Turnover avoidanceLOU edge
  • Sack avoidanceLOU edge
Rush65LOUSTRONGLOU+1846GTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALOU edge
  • Rush successLOU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceGT edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Short yardageLOU edge
Pass55LOUSLIGHTLOU+747GTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALOU edge
  • Pass successLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • ProtectionLOU edge
  • Completion over expectedGT edge
Trenches53LOUSLIGHTLOU+647GTMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlGT edge
  • Pass protectionLOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLOU edge
  • Stuff creationGT edge
  • Pressure creationLOU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLOU edge
Explosive63LOUSTRONGLOU+2241GTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateLOU edge
  • Explosive passesLOU edge
  • Explosive runsLOU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeLOU edge
  • Explosive preventionLOU edge
Resilience55LOUSLIGHTLOU+1045GTHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseLOU edge
  • Defensive responseGT edge
  • Momentum reversalLOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLOU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceLOU edge
LOUOFFENSEvsGTDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONGT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)35TRIPS46%SEASONLOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONGT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)40%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS4EMPTY5+21 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4960%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)GTOFFENSEvsLOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS46%SEASONLOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS47%SEASONGT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)39%SEASONLOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GTRED ZONETRIPS / G3.5TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS9EMPTY6+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3971%40 - 4950%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (LOU 8, GT 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.