Gridiron Core

Visitors 408 total, 249 passing, 159 rushing. Home 414 total, 249 passing, 166 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB57NCSUEVEN+453FSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successNCSU edge
  • Completion over expectedFSU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNCSU edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush53NCSUEVEN+152FSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANCSU edge
  • Rush successNCSU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNCSU edge
  • Explosive runsFSU edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass55NCSUEVEN+155FSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successNCSU edge
  • Explosive passesFSU edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedFSU edge
Trenches51NCSUEVEN+349FSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNCSU edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationNCSU edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive44NCSUCLEARFSU+1458FSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateFSU edge
  • Explosive passesFSU edge
  • Explosive runsFSU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeFSU edge
  • Explosive preventionFSU edge
Resilience48NCSUEVEN+443FSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNCSU edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalNCSU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksFSU edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNCSU edge
NCSUOFFENSEvsFSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENCSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS68%SEASONFSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONNCSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONFSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)23%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NCSURED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS23FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NCSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)FSUOFFENSEvsNCSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEFSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONNCSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS75%SEASONFSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONNCSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)13%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)FSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.8TOUCHDOWNS21FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+11 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | FSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+—0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NCSU 8, FSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.