Gridiron Core

Visitors 425 total, 285 passing, 140 rushing. Home 291 total, 181 passing, 110 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54ORECLEARORE+1243MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackORE edge
  • Dropback successORE edge
  • Completion over expectedORE edge
  • Turnover avoidanceORE edge
  • Sack avoidanceORE edge
Rush49ORESLIGHTORE+544MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAORE edge
  • Rush successORE edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMSU edge
  • Explosive runsORE edge
  • Short yardageORE edge
Pass55ORECLEARORE+1342MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAORE edge
  • Pass successORE edge
  • Explosive passesORE edge
  • ProtectionORE edge
  • Completion over expectedORE edge
Trenches53ORESLIGHTORE+647MSUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMSU edge
  • Pass protectionORE edge
  • Short-yardage blockingORE edge
  • Stuff creationMSU edge
  • Pressure creationORE edge
  • Short-yardage defenseORE edge
Explosive58ORESTRONGORE+1840MSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateORE edge
  • Explosive passesORE edge
  • Explosive runsORE edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeORE edge
  • Explosive preventionORE edge
Resilience56ORESLIGHTORE+748MSUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseORE edge
  • Defensive responseORE edge
  • Momentum reversalORE edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksORE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMSU edge
OREOFFENSEvsMSUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEORE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)37TRIPS65%SEASONMSU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS61%SEASONORE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)27%SEASONMSU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ORERED ZONETRIPS / G4.6TOUCHDOWNS24FIELD GOALS10EMPTY3+8 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ORE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MSUOFFENSEvsOREDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMSU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS58%SEASONORE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS45%SEASONMSU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONORE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)41%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MSURED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MSU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 3980%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ORE 8, MSU 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.